Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.005911 0.006774 0.007775 0.009034 0.010595 0.012494 0.015019
2025-11-23 0.004810 0.005891 0.007271 0.009210 0.011949 0.015823 0.022010
2025-11-30 0.004083 0.005209 0.006737 0.009046 0.012622 0.018287 0.028798
2025-12-07 0.003542 0.004650 0.006221 0.008728 0.012892 0.020128 0.035438
2025-12-14 0.003185 0.004284 0.005899 0.008604 0.013394 0.022477 0.044432
2025-12-21 0.002998 0.004131 0.005862 0.008908 0.014688 0.026791 0.061223
2025-12-28 0.002873 0.004051 0.005917 0.009367 0.016391 0.032755 0.089158
2026-01-04 0.002707 0.003885 0.005806 0.009497 0.017465 0.037823 0.122057
2026-01-11 0.002528 0.003679 0.005598 0.009402 0.018014 0.041833 0.158809
2026-01-18 0.002390 0.003526 0.005462 0.009422 0.018842 0.047206 0.217717
2026-01-25 0.002231 0.003324 0.005216 0.009175 0.018941 0.050335 0.274212
2026-02-01 0.002066 0.003099 0.004905 0.008744 0.018461 0.051197 0.317710
2026-02-08 0.001917 0.002899 0.004641 0.008419 0.018308 0.053808 0.404756
2026-02-15 0.001839 0.002818 0.004594 0.008575 0.019590 0.063731 0.707044
2026-02-22 0.001735 0.002683 0.004427 0.008427 0.019934 0.069924 1.094385
2026-03-01 0.001627 0.002531 0.004214 0.008138 0.019755 0.073448 1.566918
2026-03-08 0.001547 0.002426 0.004083 0.008026 0.020132 0.080798 2.806746
2026-03-15 0.001511 0.002399 0.004106 0.008302 0.021959 0.100484 11.593091
2026-03-22 0.001489 0.002395 0.004178 0.008717 0.024522 0.132314 866.063160
2026-03-29 0.001444 0.002343 0.004141 0.008835 0.026005 0.159954 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001385 0.002263 0.004036 0.008749 0.026605 0.180926 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001339 0.002204 0.003971 0.008768 0.027710 0.213657 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001279 0.002113 0.003830 0.008543 0.027599 0.229364 NaN